The Super Bowl isn’t just about the game itself—it’s a betting spectacle filled with unique props, including two of the most popular wagers: the coin toss and the national anthem length. Let’s dive into the trends for both and see where the sharp money might be leaning.
The age-old debate of heads vs. tails is one of the quickest bets to cash on Super Bowl Sunday. While history tells us it’s nearly a 50/50 split, some interesting patterns have emerged over the years:
One unique factor in recent years has been the design of the Super Bowl coin itself. The Highland Mint has been supplying the official flip coin since Super Bowl XXVIII (1994), but before that, it was essentially whatever the referee had in their pocket—anything from a silver dollar to a standard quarter.
A fascinating trend? More Roman numerals on the coin have historically resulted in a higher probability of tails. Over a period when there were more numerals on the coin, tails hit 9 out of 10 times. In contrast, when fewer numerals have been used, heads has been the stronger outcome.
For Super Bowl LIX, the coin features three Roman numerals (LIX), which leans toward the trend favoring heads. Will that hold up? The odds remain a toss-up—literally.
Coin Toss Prediction: Heads – Recent trends suggest fewer Roman numerals on the coin favor heads.
One of the most popular Super Bowl novelty bets every year is the national anthem length, with sportsbooks setting an Over/Under well before kickoff. This year, Grammy-winning musician Jon Batiste takes center stage, and oddsmakers have set the early total at:
Batiste’s diverse musical background, blending jazz and soul, adds an interesting wrinkle to this year’s prop. The biggest factor? His use of the piano. The odds strongly favor him performing with a piano (-400 Yes, +290 No), which historically leads to a longer, more drawn-out performance. Pianos allow for extended notes and improvisation, increasing the chances of hitting the Over 120.5 seconds.
Adding to the intrigue, Batiste previously played the national anthem on piano at an NBA All-Star Game—and his performance clocked in at exactly 120 seconds.
With that history in mind, bettors will be watching closely to see if his Super Bowl rendition follows a similar pattern or stretches past the key number.
Historical anthem trends:
If you’re looking for an early edge, following the line movement is key. Historically, when the total increases as game day approaches, the Over has hit more often than not.
National Anthem Prediction: Over 120.5 seconds – Batiste’s likelihood of using a piano suggests a drawn-out performance.
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